Is a Recession Brewing? What the Experts Are Saying-and How Gold Can Protect You
Wall Street Whispers Are Getting Louder
If you’ve been paying attention to the financial headlines lately, you’ve probably heard it: the “R” word is back. Recession fears are growing louder-and this time, they're coming from the top. A March 2025 Deutsche Bank survey revealed that 84% of corporate CFOs believe a recession will hit by Q1 2026.
Even more telling, two-thirds of those surveyed predict the slowdown could begin in the second half of 2025. These are the financial stewards of some of America's biggest companies-and their collective tone has shifted from caution to concern.
Jeffrey Gundlach: “More Risk Coming”
Veteran investor Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, isn't pulling punches either. In a recent CNBC interview, he said bluntly: “There's more risk coming.”
He warns that the market is underestimating just how fragile the economic situation has become. Gundlach points to tightening credit markets and rising debt costs as a recipe for slower growth-and possibly worse.
Dow-to-Gold Ratio Nearing a Critical Point
Another red flag? The Dow-to-Gold ratio-a long-trusted indicator of economic confidence-is approaching a level that's historically aligned with major economic downturns.
Currently sitting around 16, if the ratio falls below 15, it could trigger a major flight from stocks into safer assets like gold. This metric has only dipped that low a few times in the past century-each time, recession followed.
Why Gold Looks Strong Right Now
Gold is drawing more attention in 2025, and for good reason. Gold hit an all-time record, breaking $3,000 an ounce on March 14th amid the volatile market conditions. As the economic landscape grows more uncertain, gold has continued to demonstrate its value as a reliable asset in turbulent times. Historically, gold has outperformed during economic slowdowns, offering a measure of safety when other assets lose ground. With inflation still elevated and interest rates unstable, gold helps protect long-term purchasing power.
Don't Wait for the Headlines to Confirm It
Economic downturns aren't declared in real-time. By the time it's "official," markets have already moved. If history-and current expert sentiment-are any guide, now may be the time to start taking defensive steps.
Adding physical gold to your portfolio could be A great way to protect your wealth during uncertain times.
Act Before the Rush
At Lear Capital, we specialize in helping investors like you prepare for what's ahead. Let's lock in today's gold or silver price and make sure you're positioned wisely-whether the recession hits next quarter or next year. Contact Lear Capital today at 855-271-2873 to speak with a precious metals specialist.